ilmscore | US Monetary Policy Predictions
50.0%
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 78
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 66
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve is predicted not to implement any rate cuts in March 2026.
"So probably not going to see any Fed actions coming in March."
Jan 29, 2026
Pending
The US government is predicted to print trillions of dollars.
"They're going to print still a ton of money. You guys have been hearing me talk about this big print..."
Jan 5, 2026
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is predicted to implement 2 to 4 interest rate cuts in 2026.
"I think any one of the picks that he's looking at any one of those in my opinion I think would be uh..."
Dec 31, 2025
Pending
The US government will print $10-$20 trillion to fund AI development.
"I know in my heart of hearts that they are going to print 10 to 20 trillion dollars to make this lit..."
Dec 18, 2025
Pending
The US will implement Quantitative Easing (QE) and increased money printing.
"So rates QE money printing are coming to America."
Dec 15, 2025
Pending
Quantitative easing (QE) is predicted to likely return next year if Donald Trump's economic policies are implemented, aiming to stimulate the economy.
"QE is likely to come next year if Trump gets his way in terms of like juicing running the economy ho..."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
Jerome Powell is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 10th, 2025.
"It is highly anticipated and expected that Jerome Pal will cut rates by another 25 basis points on t..."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
The US Treasury General Account (TGA) will begin pouring money out 'just around the corner' (from Nov 30, 2025).
"I think it's just around the corner and I'm going to show you why."
Nov 30, 2025
Pending
President Trump is predicted to select the replacement for the Federal Reserve Chair.
"And who's going to be the person that chooses his replacement? It's going to be President Trump."
Nov 25, 2025
Correct
An 82% probability of a Fed rate cut by December 10, 2025, is predicted.
"the odds of a Fed rate cut on the 10th of December actually shot up... and now the odds are like 82%..."
Nov 25, 2025
Pending
Only one additional 0.25% Fed rate cut is expected between November 2025 and May 2026.
"between now and May next year there's only going to be one rate cut. And I think I concur with that"
Nov 25, 2025
Pending
Quantitative tightening to end by December 2025, followed by quantitative easing in the US, likely starting with the Federal Reserve adding to its balance sheet.
"Quantitive tightening coming to an end at the beginning of December and quantitative easing almost l..."
Nov 10, 2025
Pending
Money printing will occur.
"I mean money printing is going to have to occur."
Nov 10, 2025
Pending
DZY predicts that money printers will be reactivated to address maturing government debt.
"We are going to see the money printers kick back on as this debt comes due."
Nov 5, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to be replaced by a more dovish Fed chair by mid-2026, leading to interest rate cuts and Quantitative Easing.
"by mid-2026, Jerome Powell is likely going to be replaced and he's going to be replaced by someone w..."
Oct 31, 2025
Pending
The December FOMC meeting and the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) are critical events that will influence the market's trajectory towards a potentially bullish end to 2025.
"The December FOMC meeting and the official end of QT are now the most critical events to watch. The ..."
Oct 31, 2025
Incorrect
TJ predicts future interest rate cuts and at least the end of quantitative tightening, possibly the start of quantitative easing, soon after the video's publication.
"We're going to be getting rate cuts. We're going to be getting uh quantitative at least the end of q..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
TJ expects another interest rate cut before the end of 2025.
"we are expected to have another one before the end of the year as well."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
TJ predicts a 98-99% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut on the day of the video (2025-10-29).
"There's a basically 98% 99% chance of a 25% basis point cut."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
Monetary controls observed globally are predicted to be implemented in the US if not resisted.
"If we do not scream from the rooftops that this is not okay here in America, it's coming for us too."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
The US government will print an additional $3.5 trillion in 2027 along with three more spending bills, leading to significant money injection into the system.
"We're talking about printing another $3.5 trillion next year plus three more spending bills. So, the..."
Oct 15, 2025
Pending
The trend of the Fed's balance sheet decreasing will likely reverse to an uptrend sooner rather than later.
"So, we're starting to see more and more days of an uptrend signaling that yeah, this is this is prob..."
Oct 15, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in September 2025.
"I think they're projecting that the Fed is going to cut rates in September."
Oct 14, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the United States will have no choice but to continue printing more money.
"pretty much suggests that the United States is going to have no other choice other than to continue ..."
Sep 29, 2025
Correct
Fed Chairman Powell will quickly adopt a full risk-on monetary policy.
"Powell has no choice now but to go full risk-on very, very, very, very quickly."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts a US interest rate cut in September 2025.
"I've said for a long time we're going to get a rate cut in September."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
Quantitative easing is predicted for 2026.
"And then we're most likely going to have quantitative easing to look forward to in 2026."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
More than two interest rate cuts are expected in 2025, with further rate cuts anticipated in 2026, contrary to some predictions of only two for the year.
"And I'm telling you that's not going to be the last of it. It's not going to be the last of rate cut..."
Sep 8, 2025
Correct
The US Federal Reserve is not expected to implement a 50 basis point rate cut, nor a total of a full percentage point reduction across three upcoming meetings from September 2025.
"They're calling for a rate cut 50 basis points and then maybe another rate cut. So looking at a full..."
Sep 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to conclude its Quantitative Tightening program either in 2025 or 2026.
"I don't know if they'll end QT this year or not. I I think they're probably going to end it this yea..."
Sep 4, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve will likely only implement a 25 basis point rate cut at its September 2025 meeting, influenced by political pressure.
"the most sensible thing for the Fed to do would be just the smallest cut possible... he's kind of ma..."
Sep 4, 2025
Pending
Aggressive monetary easing (rate cuts) is predicted in the US after President Trump replaces Jerome Powell upon his departure from office next year (2026).
"Jerome Pal leaves office next year and Trump will replace him with somebody willing to bring rates. ..."
Aug 24, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to be replaced in May 2026 by someone who will advocate for lower interest rates.
"next year when Jerome Pal is replaced in May, he's going to be replaced. It's going to be somebody w..."
Aug 23, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve rate cuts are most likely to begin in September 2025.
"But the rate cuts are starting again, most likely in September."
Aug 22, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve's leadership and monetary policy (related to Trump's agenda) will be resolved by mid-2026, leading to aggressive money printing until Trump leaves office (early 2029).
"I think that gets resolved sometime in the middle of next year and then we have from, you know, midd..."
Aug 21, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to use the Jackson Hole Symposium (late August 2025) to temper market expectations for a September 2025 interest rate cut.
"Paul is going to use the Jackson Hole Symposium to basically temp down the market expectations for a..."
Aug 14, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted with 100% certainty to reduce interest rates at the September FOMC meeting.
"in my mind, a 100% chance that the Fed reduces interest rates at the next FOMC meeting in September."
Aug 14, 2025
Pending
A large amount of money is about to be printed by the government.
"how much money is about to be printed."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
If President Trump's actions compromise the perceived independence of the Federal Reserve, it will lead to increased risks for bond investors, resulting in higher bond yields and higher mortgage rates, even if the Fed lowers interest rates.
"But Trump is calling Fed independence into question. And if that goes away, there's going to be a wh..."
Jul 25, 2025
Pending
A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is predicted to never be created in America under the Trump administration.
"I also remain fully committed to my pledge never to allow the creation of a central bank digital cur..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
Quantitative Easing and money printing will commence.
"Quantitative Easing will start, money printing will start, and it is happening."
Jul 16, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement at least a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September 2025.
"No, I think we're going to get them in September. I think we're going to get them in September. At l..."
Jul 9, 2025
Pending
There is a nearly 100% chance of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve by December 2025.
"uh by December, it's nearly a 100% chance that we're going to get a rate cut this year."
Jul 9, 2025
Pending
An interest rate cut is predicted for September 2025.
"People are sleeping on what's coming later this year. It's September rate cut hits."
Jul 2, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve, specifically Jerome Powell, is predicted to face increasing difficulty in justifying maintaining current interest rates, leading to an expectation of rate cuts.
"The Fed is going to find it harder to justify not cutting, aka Jerome Pal. Jerome Pal is running out..."
Jun 12, 2025
Correct
Interest rate cuts are predicted to occur.
"Rate cut happening and uh yeah, alt season is right around the corner."
Jun 12, 2025
Correct
No interest rate cut in 2025.
"In fact, we might not even get an interest rate cut in 2025."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
US monetary authorities are predicted to resort to money printing.
"the monetary authorities especially in America cannot handle that and so they're going to resort to ..."
May 16, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve may establish a special facility to mitigate bond market volatility by allowing countries to borrow US dollars against long-term bonds, rather than selling them.
"the Fed would then create a special facility to minimize bond market volatility by making it possibl..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts are not expected in the May Federal Reserve meeting.
"And indeed it doesn't seem like there'll be rate cuts coming into the May meeting."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending